Championship

Championship | Gameweek 46

May 3, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
3 - 1
Millwall

Brownhill (13', 90+3'), Anthony (65')
Brownhill (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ivanovic (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 0-5 Burnley
Saturday, April 26 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 71.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 9.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Millwall
71.88% ( 0.19)	18.33% ( -0.17)	9.8% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 41.05% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.64% (

0.65)

48.36% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.5% (

0.59)

70.5% (

-0.59)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.9% (

0.24)

12.1% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.35% (

0.51)

37.65% (

-0.51)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.7% (

0.38)

53.29% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.16% (

0.24)

86.83% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Burnley 71.86%

Millwall 9.8%

Draw 18.33%

Burnley	Draw	Millwall
2-0 @ 14.38% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 71.86%	1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.46% Total : 18.33%	0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 9.8%

How you voted: Burnley vs Millwall

Burnley

65.1%

Draw

9.5%

Millwall

25.4%

Head to Head

Nov 3, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 13

Millwall

1-0

Burnley

Cooper (52')
Cooper (21'), Bryan (23')

Sarmiento (88'), Mejbri (90+7')

> Preview

Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 29

Millwall

1-1

Burnley

Bradshaw (85')

Barnes (51')

> Preview

Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 7

Burnley

2-0

Millwall

Vitinho (62'), Rodriguez (72')

> Preview

Sep 23, 2020 7pm

Third Round

Millwall

0-2

Burnley

Brownhill (45'), Vydra (90+3')
Brownhill (53'), Thomas (56'), Westwood (78')

Feb 8, 2014 3pm

Form Guide

Burnley 2-1 Sheff Utd

Blackburn 4-1 Millwall

Millwall 1-0 Middlesbrough

Sheff Utd 0-1 Millwall

Millwall 2-1 Portsmouth

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

North Korea

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table