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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burnley win with a probability of 72.15%. A draw has a probability of 18.3% and a win for Millwall has a probability of 9.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win is 2-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (13.97%) and 3-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Millwall win it is 0-1 (4.06%).
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Millwall |
72.15% (![]() | 18.32% (![]() | 9.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 40.06% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.88% (![]() | 49.12% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.81% (![]() | 71.19% (![]() |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.76% (![]() | 12.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.05% (![]() | 37.95% (![]() |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.65% (![]() | 54.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.51% (![]() | 87.49% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Millwall |
2-0 @ 14.67% (![]() 1-0 @ 13.97% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 10.27% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.95% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.77% Total : 72.14% | 1-1 @ 8.52% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() Other @ 0.42% Total : 18.32% | 0-1 @ 4.06% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 1.63% Total : 9.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 97 |
2 | Burnley | 45 | 27 | 16 | 2 | 66 | 15 | 51 | 97 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 45 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 89 |
4 | Sunderland | 45 | 21 | 13 | 11 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 76 |
5 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 67 |
6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 58 | 4 | 66 |
7 | Millwall | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 66 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 19 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 65 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 18 | 10 | 17 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 64 |
10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 14 | 19 | 12 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 61 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 60 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 57 |
13 | Watford | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 56 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 67 | 66 | 1 | 54 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 53 |
16 | Portsmouth | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 53 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 52 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 50 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 49 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 10 | 19 | 16 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 49 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 42 | 64 | -22 | 49 |
22 | Hull City | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 48 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 50 | 86 | -36 | 46 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 9 | 17 | 19 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 44 |
> Championship Full Table |