Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
