Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Botafogo win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
