Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.