Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.