Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.