Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 14.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.