Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for KV Oostende had a probability of 37.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest KV Oostende win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.
