Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.