Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 10.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.25%) and 0-3 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-0 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.