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Sarmiento
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
May 3, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
San Lorenzo

Sarmiento
vs.
San Lorenzo

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Instituto 1-1 Sarmiento
Sunday, April 27 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 Rosario
Saturday, April 26 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 40.68%. A draw has a probability of 32.5% and a win for Sarmiento has a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win is 0-1 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.72%) and 1-2 (6.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (16.56%), while for a Sarmiento win it is 1-0 (12.78%).

Result
SarmientoDrawSan Lorenzo
26.8% (-1.462 -1.46) 32.52% (-0.052 -0.05) 40.68% (1.515 1.52)
Both teams to score 34.5% (-0.47 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
26.88% (-0.238 -0.24)73.13% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
10.83% (-0.141 -0.14)89.17% (0.142 0.14)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.77% (-1.443 -1.44)46.24% (1.445 1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.1% (-1.136 -1.14)81.9% (1.137 1.14)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (0.827 0.83)35.84% (-0.826 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (0.839 0.84)72.61% (-0.839 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 26.8%
    San Lorenzo 40.68%
    Draw 32.51%
SarmientoDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 12.78% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 5.06% (-0.256 -0.26)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.367 -0.37)
3-1 @ 1.3% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 26.8%
0-0 @ 16.56% (0.14 0.14)
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 2.6% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 32.51%
0-1 @ 17% (0.53 0.53)
0-2 @ 8.72% (0.457 0.46)
1-2 @ 6.73% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.98% (0.219 0.22)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 40.68%

Who will win Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and San Lorenzo?

Sarmiento
Draw
San Lorenzo
Sarmiento
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
San Lorenzo
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 4
San Lorenzo
0-1
Sarmiento

Ferreira (45+3')
Garcia (70')
Arismendi (27'), Gabriel Rosales (39'), Lopez (78'), Manuel Insaurralde (80')
Mar 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 11
San Lorenzo
1-0
Sarmiento
Ferreira (6')
Bareiro (84'), Herazo (89'), Giay (90+2')

Paredes (32'), Manuel Insaurralde (74'), Calcaterra (81')
Oct 30, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 11
Sarmiento
0-0
San Lorenzo
Fontana (34'), Paredes (42'), Cruz Kaprof (85')
Perez (6'), Maroni (71'), Hernandez (81')
Feb 20, 2023 10.15pm
Oct 18, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 26
Sarmiento
2-4
San Lorenzo
Gondou (25'), Quinteros (82')
Braida (18', 61'), Vombergar (42'), Bareiro (45')
rhs 2.0
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