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Sarmiento
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
May 3, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
San Lorenzo

Sarmiento
1 - 1
San Lorenzo

Vombergar (36' og.)
Vallejos (41'), Manuel Insaurralde (45+1'), Suhr (56'), Paradela (58'), Roncaglia (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Molina (87' og.)
Cecchini (34'), Ezequiel Herrera (90')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Instituto 1-1 Sarmiento
Sunday, April 27 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 Rosario
Saturday, April 26 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 40.4%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 27.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (6.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.32%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
SarmientoDrawSan Lorenzo
27.21% (1.376 1.38) 32.39% (-0.155 -0.16) 40.4% (-1.224 -1.22)
Both teams to score 34.92% (0.934 0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
27.28% (0.745 0.75)72.72% (-0.749 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.07% (0.448 0.45)88.92% (-0.44999999999999 -0.45)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.38% (1.725 1.73)45.61% (-1.729 -1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.58% (1.322 1.32)81.42% (-1.326 -1.33)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.22% (-0.333 -0.33)35.78% (0.33 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.44% (-0.344 -0.34)72.56% (0.34 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 27.2%
    San Lorenzo 40.4%
    Draw 32.39%
SarmientoDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 5.17% (0.302 0.3)
2-0 @ 5.03% (0.336 0.34)
3-1 @ 1.35% (0.139 0.14)
3-0 @ 1.32% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 27.2%
0-0 @ 16.32% (-0.46 -0.46)
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 2.66% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 32.39%
0-1 @ 16.77% (-0.63 -0.63)
0-2 @ 8.62% (-0.405 -0.41)
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 40.4%

Head to Head
Jun 3, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 4
San Lorenzo
0-1
Sarmiento

Ferreira (45+3')
Garcia (70')
Arismendi (27'), Gabriel Rosales (39'), Lopez (78'), Manuel Insaurralde (80')
Mar 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 11
San Lorenzo
1-0
Sarmiento
Ferreira (6')
Bareiro (84'), Herazo (89'), Giay (90+2')

Paredes (32'), Manuel Insaurralde (74'), Calcaterra (81')
Oct 30, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 11
Sarmiento
0-0
San Lorenzo
Fontana (34'), Paredes (42'), Cruz Kaprof (85')
Perez (6'), Maroni (71'), Hernandez (81')
Feb 20, 2023 10.15pm
Oct 18, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 26
Sarmiento
2-4
San Lorenzo
Gondou (25'), Quinteros (82')
Braida (18', 61'), Vombergar (42'), Bareiro (45')
rhs 2.0
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