Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.