Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.
