Uzbekistan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Gameweek 10 | 2nd Leg
Jun 10, 2025 at 2.45pm UK
 
Qatar national football team

Uzbekistan
3 - 0
Qatar

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Uzbekistan and Qatar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Iran 2-2 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, March 25 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: UAE vs. Uzbekistan
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 3-1 Qatar
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Qatar vs. Iran
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw has a probability of 22.6% and a win for Qatar has a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Qatar win it is 0-1 (5.83%).

Result
UzbekistanDrawQatar
58.7% (-2.047 -2.05)22.55% (0.625 0.63)18.75% (1.425 1.43)
Both teams to score 51.04% (0.695 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (-0.433 -0.43)47.57% (0.436 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (-0.401 -0.4)69.78% (0.40300000000001 0.4)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.821 -0.82)15.88% (0.823 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91% (-1.535 -1.54)45.09% (1.537 1.54)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.68% (1.407 1.41)39.32% (-1.405 -1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.97% (1.287 1.29)76.03% (-1.286 -1.29)
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 58.69%
    Qatar 18.75%
    Draw 22.55%
UzbekistanDrawQatar
1-0 @ 11.48% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.57% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.453 -0.45)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.3 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.146 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 58.69%
1-1 @ 10.72% (0.3 0.3)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.83% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 5.01% (0.321 0.32)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.246 0.25)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.155 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 18.75%

Head to Head
Nov 14, 2024 12am
Third Round
Qatar
3-2
Uzbekistan
Ali (25', 41'), Mendes (90')
Fathi (64'), Al Bayati (90')
Fayzullaev (75', 80')
Masharipov (73')
Feb 3, 2024 3.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Qatar
1-1
Uzbekistan
(Aggregate 1-1 | Qatar win 3-2 on penalties)
Al Heidos (27')
Barsham (46'), Muneer (89'), Ali (90+1'), Ro-Ro (105')
Khamrobekov (59')
Katanec (47'), Shukurov (69'), Ashurmatov (90')
Oct 16, 2018 3pm
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
2-0
Qatar
Akhmedov (73'), Bikmaev (86')
Alibaev (79')

Ali (22'), Hatem (57')