COSAFA Cup | Group Stage | 2nd Leg

Jun 10, 2025 at 5pm UK

Malawi
0 - 1
Angola

(Angola win 5-1 on aggregate)

Chirwa (44'), Mpokera (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nteka (48')
Keliano (11'), Zini (54')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Malawi and Angola.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malawi

All competitions

Last Game: Tunisia 2-0 Malawi
Monday, March 24 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Next Game: Malawi vs. Lesotho
Thursday, June 5 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Angola

All competitions

Last Game: Angola 1-2 Cape Verde
Tuesday, March 25 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Next Game: Angola vs. Namibia
Thursday, June 5 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Angola win with a probability of 42.49%. A draw has a probability of 30.4% and a win for Malawi has a probability of 27.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win is 0-1 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.9%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Malawi win it is 1-0 (11.53%).

Result
Malawi	Draw	Angola
27.14% ( -1.15)	30.37% ( 0.49)	42.49% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 39.2% (

-1.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.38% (

-1.77)

67.62% (

1.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.32% (

-1.2)

85.68% (

1.21)

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.42% (

-2.02)

42.59% (

2.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.06% (

-1.77)

78.94% (

1.78)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.28% (

-0.53)

31.72% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.85% (

-0.61)

68.15% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Malawi 27.14%

Angola 42.49%

Draw 30.37%

Malawi	Draw	Angola
1-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.1% Total : 27.14%	0-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.86) 1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.37%	0-1 @ 15.51% ( 0.77) 0-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.49%