Visitors Republic of Ireland will travel on Tuesday to Stade de Luxembourg, where they will face Luxembourg in their latest international friendly.
Luxembourg were narrowly beaten 1-0 by Slovenia on June 6, whereas the Boys in Green managed to hold Senegal to a 1-1 draw on the same date and head to the stadium in good form.
Match preview
The hosts’ failure to keep a clean sheet against Slovenia means they have only prevented opposition teams from scoring in two of their past 13 outings.
Luxembourg’s record in the final third is poor, with the side only finding the back of the net five times in 11 matches.
Manger Luc Holtz has led the team to two consecutive defeats in his last two in charge, with the nation drawing three and losing five of their prior nine.
The Red Lions’ form at home has been poor considering they have been beaten in three of their five most recent matches at Stade de Luxembourg, only emerging victorious once in that time.
Ireland will consider themselves unfortunate to have not beaten Senegal considering they led from the 21st until the 82nd minute, as well as the fact they restricted their opponents to one big chance.
The visitors have managed to find the back of the net five times in their last three games, but they have conceded 18 in their past 10.
Boss Heimir Hallgrimsson will hope for a repeat of his side’s previous clash against Luxembourg in November 2021, when they won 3-0 under Stephen Kenny.
Ireland are unbeaten in three outings – achieving victory twice – but suffered defeats in four of their prior six.
It should be noted that the Boys in Green have lost three of their past four fixtures on the road while winning twice, though two of those losses came against star-studded Portugal and England.
Luxembourg form (all competitions):
- D
- L
- D
- W
- L
- L
Republic of Ireland form (all competitions):
- L
- W
- L
- W
- W
- D
Team News
The hosts could field a forward line consisting of Gerson Rodrigues, Brian Madjo and Florian Bohnert.
Luxembourg trio Danel Sinani, Leandro Barreiro and Tomas de Sousa Moreira may play in front of defenders Laurent Jans, Seid Korac, Dirk Carlson and Mica Pinto.
As for Ireland, goalkeeper Caoimhin Kelleher can be pencilled in to play between the posts, while Nathan Collins will marshal the visitors’ defence.
Will Smallbone and Jason Knight were stationed in a double pivot last time out, and they can be expected to start on Tuesday.
Number nine Adam Idah could be supported by Jack Taylor and Ryan Manning in a front three.
Luxembourg possible starting lineup:
Cardoso; Jans, Korac, Carlson, Pinto; Sinani, Barreiro, Moreira; Rodrigues, Madjo, Bohnert
Republic of Ireland possible starting lineup:
Kelleher; Doherty, Collins, O'Shea; McAteer, Smallbone, Knight, Brady; Taylor, Manning; Idah
We say: Luxembourg 1-2 Republic of Ireland
Luxembourg may have the opportunity to get onto the scoresheet given Ireland’s backline has proven to be susceptible at times.
However, the visitors’ form has been positive in recent matches, and they should be seen as favourites on Tuesday.
For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luxembourg win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw has a probability of 26.4% and a win for Republic of Ireland has a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it is 0-1 (8.45%).