Norway national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage | 2nd Leg
Jun 6, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
Italy national football team

Norway
3 - 0
Italy

Sorloth (14'), Nusa (34'), Haaland (42')
Thorsby (38'), Berg (55')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Norway and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Friday's World Cup Qualifying clash with Norway.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Israel 2-4 Norway
Tuesday, March 25 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
All competitions
Last Game: Germany 3-3 Italy
Sunday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norway win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw has a probability of 21.7% and a win for Italy has a probability of 16.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Italy win it is 0-1 (5.42%).

Result
NorwayDrawItaly
61.44% (-1.208 -1.21)21.73% (0.69 0.69)16.84% (0.521 0.52)
Both teams to score 49.97% (-1.106 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.87% (-2.045 -2.05)47.13% (2.049 2.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64% (-1.933 -1.93)69.37% (1.936 1.94)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (-1.038 -1.04)14.83% (1.04 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.87% (-2.022 -2.02)43.13% (2.024 2.02)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.68% (-0.574 -0.57)41.32% (0.578 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.16% (-0.51 -0.51)77.84% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Norway 61.43%
    Italy 16.84%
    Draw 21.73%
NorwayDrawItaly
1-0 @ 11.69% (0.56 0.56)
2-0 @ 11.16% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.1% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.264 -0.26)
4-0 @ 3.39% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.245 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.131 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.137 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 61.43%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.336 0.34)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.509 0.51)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.73%
0-1 @ 5.42% (0.371 0.37)
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.129 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 16.84%

How you voted: Norway vs Italy

Norway
31.6%
Draw
10.5%
Italy
57.9%
19
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Italy
2-1
Norway
Florenzi (73'), Pelle (82')
Tettey (23')
Sep 9, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Norway
0-2
Italy
Jun 11, 2013 5pm
Group Stage
Norway
1-1
Italy
Jun 5, 1938
4pm
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!