Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
