Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.36%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for The New Saints in this match.
