Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 65.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 14.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
