Vasco da Gama
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 27, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco
3 - 0
Melgar

Rayan (3', 3'), Henrique (33'), Vegetti (44')
Jair (37'), Freitas (80')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Antonio Vivanco Ayala (83'), Gonzalez (90')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Vasco da Gama and Melgar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Vasco
Saturday, May 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Melgar

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Puerto Cabello 0-1 Melgar
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Melgar win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawMelgar
47.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.66% (0.0010000000000012 0)27.48% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 55.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.53% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)47.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.32%69.68%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11%19.89% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.75% (0.0010000000000048 0)31.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41%67.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 47.85%
    Melgar 27.48%
    Draw 24.66%
Vasco da GamaDrawMelgar
1-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 47.85%
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 27.48%

How you voted: Vasco vs Melgar

Vasco da Gama
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Melgar
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Melgar
3-3
Vasco
Rodriguez (39'), Castro (80'), Cabrera (90')
Liza (45+4'), Fernando Lazo Zapata (77')
Coutinho (3'), Vegetti (32', 51')
Paulinho (27'), Lemos (45+4'), Oliveira (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!