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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2025 at 10.30am UK
Mersin Stadyumu
Antalyaspor logo (not for use in articles)

Hatayspor
2 - 3
Antalyaspor

Boutobba (30'), Aboubakar (64' pen.)
Yilmaz (21')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Samudio (22' pen.), van de Streek (39'), Safouri (86')
Ozturk (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Antalyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kasimpasa 5-4 Hatayspor
Monday, January 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-1 Besiktas
Sunday, January 26 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-0 Antalyaspor

Hatayspor's struggles and Antalyaspor's poor away form make this a tough call – however, with the desperation for points on the home side and their recent performances, we expect them to edge what will likely be a cagey affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
HataysporDrawAntalyaspor
45.1% (-0.338 -0.34) 25.68% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 29.22% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 53% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26% (-0.283 -0.28)50.75% (0.27999999999999 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36% (-0.25 -0.25)72.64% (0.248 0.25)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)22.46% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (-0.412 -0.41)56% (0.409 0.41)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.027999999999992 0.03)31.65% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (0.033000000000001 0.03)68.06% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 45.09%
    Antalyaspor 29.22%
    Draw 25.68%
HataysporDrawAntalyaspor
1-0 @ 10.61% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 45.09%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.099 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 29.22%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Antalyaspor

Hatayspor
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Antalyaspor
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Antalyaspor
3-2
Hatayspor
Kelven (60'), Djenepo (66'), Samudio (90+4' pen.)
van de Streek (56'), Kelven (64'), Gerxhaliu (66'), Kaluzinski (74')
Strandberg (26' pen., 32')
Parmak (35'), Sertel (47'), Corekci (76'), Yilmaz (90+2'), Hodzic (90+2'), Theophilus Okoronkwo (90+11')
Kilama (51')
Apr 21, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 33
Antalyaspor
2-1
Hatayspor
Buksa (67'), Bytyqi (90+2')
van de Streek (59'), Yesilyurt (60'), Sari (87'), Uzun (90+4')
Dele-Bashiru (26')
Ghoulam (8'), Faruk Beyaz (15'), Kardesler (65')
Dec 1, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 14
Hatayspor
3-3
Antalyaspor
Strandberg (19'), Alici (62'), Kilama (71')
Massanga (39'), Demirel (40'), Demir (67')
Demirel (0'), (90+14')
Yesilyurt (35'), Buksa (57', 88')
Sari (69'), Safouri (90+13')
Jun 3, 2023 5pm
Jan 7, 2023 1pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray27225068274171
2Fenerbahce26195263234062
3Samsunspor27156644301451
4BesiktasBesiktas26128639261344
5EyupsporEyupspor27128740291144
6GaziantepGaziantep26115103635138
7Goztepe SKGoztepe SK26107944341037
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul26106104137436
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor2698943311235
10KasimpasaKasimpasa2781184752-535
11Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor27103143446-1233
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor2796123051-2133
13KonyasporKonyaspor2787123340-731
14AlanyasporAlanyaspor2787123140-931
15Bodrumspor2786132029-930
16SivassporSivasspor2776143345-1227
17KayserisporKayserispor2669112746-1927
18Hatayspor2647152946-1719
19Adana Demirspor2624202560-35-2


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