Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
