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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Hellas Verona logo
Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Bologna logo

Hellas Verona
1 - 2
Bologna

Fernando Mosquera Bonilla (80')
Valentini (10'), Suslov (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Odgaard (40'), Cambiaghi (78')
Moro (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Hellas Verona
Monday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Bologna

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawBologna
19.6% (-0.204 -0.2)24.66% (0.030000000000001 0.03)55.74% (0.174 0.17)
Both teams to score 46.22% (-0.383 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.26% (-0.349 -0.35)54.74% (0.349 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.95% (-0.291 -0.29)76.05% (0.29000000000001 0.29)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.47% (-0.429 -0.43)42.53% (0.42899999999999 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.11% (-0.368 -0.37)78.89% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)19.57% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.51% (-0.11 -0.11)51.49% (0.109 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 19.6%
    Bologna 55.73%
    Draw 24.65%
Hellas VeronaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 7.12% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.96% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.41% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.15% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 19.6%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.32% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 13.57% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 11.07% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.02% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.46% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.1% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 55.73%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Bologna

Hellas Verona
12.2%
Draw
10.2%
Bologna
77.6%
49
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Dawidowicz (18'), Baroni (45+4'), Faraoni (50'), Suslov (90+3'), Serdar (90+3')
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> Preview
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> Preview