Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Abha had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Abha win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ettifaq would win this match.