

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Vizela | 
| 36.97% | 27.15% | 35.89% | 
| Both teams to score 50.45% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.04% | 54.96% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.76% | 76.23% | 
| Maritimo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.35% | 28.65% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.54% | 64.46% | 
| Vizela Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.7% | 29.3% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.73% | 65.27% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Maritimo | Draw | Vizela | 
| 1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.96% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.39% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.88% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 | 
| 2 | Porto | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 66 | 20 | 46 | 79 | 
| 3 | Braga | 32 | 24 | 2 | 6 | 71 | 29 | 42 | 74 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 50 | 
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 48 | 
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 46 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 | 
| 9 | Vizela | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 40 | 
| 10 | Casa Pia | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 40 | 
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 | 
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 39 | 
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 34 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 | 
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 31 | 
| 16 | Maritimo | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 26 | 
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 | 
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 19 | 
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