Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.