Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.