Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Fulham |
| 49.54% ( | 22.44% ( | 28.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.12% ( | 36.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.94% ( | 59.06% ( |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% ( | 15.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.14% ( | 43.86% ( |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( | 25.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.8% ( | 60.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Fulham |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 5-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 4.05% Total : 49.54% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 3-3 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 28.02% |