Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Fulham |
49.54% (![]() | 22.44% (![]() | 28.02% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.12% (![]() | 36.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.94% (![]() | 59.06% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.78% (![]() | 15.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.14% (![]() | 43.86% (![]() |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.61% (![]() | 25.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.8% (![]() | 60.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Fulham |
2-1 @ 9.39% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.27% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 4.05% Total : 49.54% | 1-1 @ 9.97% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 6.83% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 28.02% |