Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 38.97% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.98%) and 3-2 (4.97%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United Under-21s in this match.