Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
