
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers | 
| 39.34% (  1.32) | 25.06% (  -0.05) | 35.59% (  -1.27) | 
| Both teams to score 57.4% (  0.06) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.93% (  0.12) | 46.07% (  -0.12) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.63% (  0.11) | 68.37% (  -0.11) | 
| Altrincham Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.78% (  0.74) | 23.22% (  -0.74) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.88% (  1.07) | 57.12% (  -1.07) | 
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.76% (  -0.65) | 25.24% (  0.65) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.01% (  -0.91) | 59.98% (  0.91) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Altrincham | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers | 
| 2-1 @ 8.6% (  0.17) 1-0 @ 8.56% (  0.14) 2-0 @ 6.25% (  0.23) 3-1 @ 4.19% (  0.17) 3-0 @ 3.04% (  0.18) 3-2 @ 2.88% (  0.06) 4-1 @ 1.53% (  0.09) 4-0 @ 1.11% (  0.09) 4-2 @ 1.05% (  0.05) Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.34% | 1-1 @ 11.78% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% (  0) 0-0 @ 5.86% (  -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.32% (  0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.11% (  -0.17) 0-1 @ 8.07% (  -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.55% (  -0.24) 1-3 @ 3.72% (  -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.72% (  -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.55% (  -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.28% (  -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.94% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.59% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 | 
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 | 
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 | 
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 | 
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 | 
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 | 
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 | 
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 | 
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 | 
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 | 
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 | 
| 14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 | 
| 15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 | 
| 16 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 | 
| 17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 | 
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 | 
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 | 
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 | 
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 | 
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 | 
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 | 
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 | 
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