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Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer | 2nd Leg
Jun 9, 2025 at 12am UK
Providence Park
St Louis City

Portland
2 - 1
St Louis City

Antony (55'), Ayala (90+1')
Fory (13'), Mora (90+8'), Miller (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Watts (50')
Baumgartl (45'), Becher (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Portland Timbers and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Colorado
Thursday, May 29 at 3.30am in MLS Playoffs

St Louis City

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: St Louis City 2-1 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 31 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw has a probability of 18.7% and a win for St Louis City has a probability of 15.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.48%), while for a St Louis City win it is 1-2 (4.43%).

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSt Louis City
65.46% (0.282 0.28)18.69% (-0.073 -0.07)15.85% (-0.211 -0.21)
Both teams to score 58.34% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.94% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)35.06% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.94% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)57.05% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.96% (0.045000000000002 0.05)10.04% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.88% (0.105 0.11)33.11% (-0.108 -0.11)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.85% (-0.303 -0.3)35.15% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.1% (-0.319 -0.32)71.9% (0.31700000000001 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 65.46%
    St Louis City 15.85%
    Draw 18.69%
Portland TimbersDrawSt Louis City
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.32% (0.074 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.47% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.14% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 4.29% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.11% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.97% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.89% (0.027 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 65.46%
1-1 @ 8.48% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.69%
1-2 @ 4.43% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.69% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 15.85%

Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 3.30am
Portland
4-4
St Louis City
Rodriguez (39'), Mora (57', 65'), Evander (90+10')
Araujo (34'), Evander (65'), Rodriguez (73'), Williamson (77')
Mora (90+5')
Becher (11'), Lowen (34' pen.), Teuchert (45+2'), Thorisson (58')
Thorisson (50'), Hartel (60'), Horn (89')
> Preview
Aug 10, 2024 1.30am
Round of 32
St Louis City
3-1
Portland
Teuchert (51'), Hartel (83'), Becher (88')
Bravo (54')
> Preview
Aug 10, 2024 1.30am
Round of 32
St Louis City
3-1
Portland
Teuchert (51'), Hartel (83'), Becher (88')
Bravo (54')
> Preview
Jun 9, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City
0-0
Portland
Nilsson (45+4'), Markanich (45+2'), Kijima (51'), Pompeu (67'), Durkin (81'), Totland (83')
Zuparic (53'), Lowen (82'), Mora (83')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City
1-2
Portland
> Preview