Major League Soccer

Jun 9, 2025 at 12am UK

Providence Park

Portland
2 - 1
St Louis City

Antony (55'), Ayala (90+1')
Fory (13'), Mora (90+8'), Miller (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Watts (50')
Baumgartl (45'), Becher (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Portland Timbers and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: Portland 2-1 Colorado
Thursday, May 29 at 3.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: St Louis City 2-1 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 31 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw has a probability of 18.7% and a win for St Louis City has a probability of 15.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.48%), while for a St Louis City win it is 1-2 (4.43%).

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	St Louis City
65.46% ( 0.28)	18.69% ( -0.07)	15.85% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 58.34% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.94% (

-0.08)

35.06% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.94% (

-0.09)

57.05% (

0.09)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.96% (

0.05)

10.04% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.88% (

0.11)

33.11% (

-0.11)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.85% (

-0.3)

35.15% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.1% (

-0.32)

71.9% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 65.46%

St Louis City 15.85%

Draw 18.69%

Portland Timbers	Draw	St Louis City
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 4.22% Total : 65.46%	1-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.69%	1-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 15.85%