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Major League Soccer

New York City
Major League Soccer | 2nd Leg
Jun 13, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Atlanta United

NY City
vs.
Atlanta

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's MLS clash between New York City FC and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Nashville 2-2 NY City
Saturday, May 31 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Atlanta
Sunday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Atlanta United has a probability of 24.24% and a draw has a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Atlanta United win is 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.28%).

Result
New York City FCDrawAtlanta United
53.36% (-1.128 -1.13)22.4% (0.277 0.28)24.24% (0.851 0.85)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.93% (-0.373 -0.37)40.07% (0.372 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.56% (-0.387 -0.39)62.43% (0.387 0.39)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94% (-0.502 -0.5)15.06% (0.502 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.43% (-0.956 -0.96)43.57% (0.95500000000001 0.96)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (0.497 0.5)29.85% (-0.498 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (0.598 0.6)65.94% (-0.599 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 53.36%
    Atlanta United 24.24%
    Draw 22.39%
New York City FCDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.06% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 53.36%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.055 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.077 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.39%
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.166 0.17)
0-1 @ 5.43% (0.166 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.144 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.1 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.055 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 24.24%

Head to Head
Mar 29, 2025 11.30pm
Atlanta
4-3
NY City
Miranchuk (42'), Parks (62' og.), Almiron (75'), Latte Lath (84')
Guzan (90+4')
Wolf (15', 51'), Martinez (48' pen.)
> Preview
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
Atlanta
2-2
NY City
Rios (1'), Lobzhanidze (38')
Muyumba (61'), Lennon (86'), Brennan (90+5')
Bakrar (65'), Magno (82' pen.)
Haak (77')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2024 12.30am
NY City
1-1
Atlanta
Rodriguez (43' pen.)
Sands (15'), Gray (50'), Parks (74')
Thiare (65')
Williams (61')
> Preview
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
2-2
NY City
Wolff (11'), Firmino (90+5')
Cobb (22'), Gutman (75')
Pereira (1', 56')
Cufre (70'), Pellegrini (81'), Rodriguez (86')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
NY City
1-1
Atlanta
> Preview