Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38

May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
5 - 0
Metz

Mbappe (25', 28', 50'), Neymar (31'), di Maria (67')
Neymar (72')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Traore (23')
Traore (58')

Reaction

Neymar in action for Paris Saint-Germain in March 2022

Neymar joins Cristiano Ronaldo, Romario in elite goalscoring club

Paris Saint-Germain attacker Neymar joins an exclusive goalscoring club with his strike in Saturday's 5-0 Ligue 1 thrashing of Metz at the Parc des Princes.

May 22, 22:39

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	38	54	86
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69

Metz

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32
19	Metz	38	-34	31
20	Bordeaux	38	-39	31

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 84.28%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 4.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.11%) and 4-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.1%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Metz
84.28% ( 0.94)	10.75% ( -0.44)	4.97% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 43.53% (

-1.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.27% (

-0.25)

30.73% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.94% (

-0.29)

52.06% (

0.29)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.82% (

0.12)

5.18% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.48% (

0.36)

20.52% (

-0.36)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.91% (

-1.96)

54.09% (

1.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.67% (

-1.24)

87.33% (

1.24)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 84.27%

Metz 4.97%

Draw 10.75%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Metz
2-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.44) 4-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.27) 5-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.13) 6-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.24% Total : 84.27%	1-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.53% Total : 10.75%	0-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.68% Total : 4.97%