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Ligue 1

Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Rennes

Montpellier
0 - 4
Rennes


Ferri (18'), Kouyate (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fofana (28'), Cisse (56'), Assignon (69'), Kalimuendo (87')
Fofana (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Nice 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, February 23 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Rennes

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 1-0 Reims
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 57.99%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawRennes
20.01% (0.751 0.75)22.01% (0.44 0.44)57.99% (-1.186 -1.19)
Both teams to score 54.97% (-0.195 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.59% (-0.874 -0.87)43.41% (0.88 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.2% (-0.866 -0.87)65.8% (0.871 0.87)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.27200000000001 0.27)35.56% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (0.278 0.28)72.33% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31% (-0.66199999999999 -0.66)14.69% (0.667 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.13% (-1.289 -1.29)42.87% (1.293 1.29)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 20.01%
    Rennes 57.99%
    Draw 22.01%
Montpellier HSCDrawRennes
1-0 @ 5.4% (0.244 0.24)
2-1 @ 5.36% (0.156 0.16)
2-0 @ 2.79% (0.145 0.15)
3-1 @ 1.85% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 20.01%
1-1 @ 10.36% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.01%
0-1 @ 10.02% (0.149 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.61% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.35% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-3 @ 6.14% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.05% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-4 @ 2.95% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.17% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-5 @ 1.13% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 57.99%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Rennes

Montpellier HSC
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Rennes
66.7%
42
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 4
Rennes
3-0
Montpellier
Blas (24'), Kalimuendo (35'), Gronbaek (60')
Seidu (9')

Nzingoula (21'), Nzingoula (79'), Dzodic (85')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 20
Rennes
2-1
Montpellier
Terrier (3'), Kalimuendo (48' pen.)
Truffert (45+4'), Kalimuendo (53'), Yildirim (80'), Le Fee (86')
Savanier (73')
Sagnan (12'), Khazri (30'), Mincarelli (47')
> Preview
Sep 24, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 6
Montpellier
0-0
Rennes
Chotard (78'), Ferri (90+4')
Yildirim (32')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 32
Montpellier
1-0
Rennes
Mavididi (84')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 13
Rennes
3-0
Montpellier
Terrier (15'), Kalimuendo (23'), Gouiri (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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