Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 49.18%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
