Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
