MX23RW : Friday, August 2 23:12:59| >> :60:337:337:
Leagues Cup | Group Stage
Aug 2, 2024 at 2am UK
SeatGeek Stadium
Chicago Fire

Toluca
3 - 1
Chicago Fire

Angulo (30'), Ruiz (45', 66')
Baeza (27')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Koutsias (8')
Navarro (74'), Navarro (80'), Acosta (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Leagues Cup clash between Toluca and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-1 Toluca
Sunday, July 21 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 29 at 2am in Leagues Cup

We said: Toluca 2-0 Chicago Fire

Losing by such narrow margins time and again can weigh heavily on a team, and it seems as though the Fire cannot get out of this current slump despite their best efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 65.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 15.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.4%).

Result
TolucaDrawChicago Fire
65.61% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22) 18.71% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 15.68% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 57.84% (0.118 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.49% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)35.5% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.44% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)57.55% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.87% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)10.12% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.68% (-0.139 -0.14)33.31% (0.14 0.14)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.35% (0.173 0.17)35.64% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.58% (0.177 0.18)72.41% (-0.176 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 65.61%
    Chicago Fire 15.68%
    Draw 18.71%
TolucaDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.22% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.14% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.2%
5-1 @ 1.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 65.61%
1-1 @ 8.53% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.61% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.71%
1-2 @ 4.4% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.72% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.92% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 15.68%

How you voted: Toluca vs Chicago Fire

Toluca
78.8%
Draw
12.1%
Chicago Fire
9.1%
33
rhs 2.0
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