Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.