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Coppa Italia | Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Chiavari

Carrarese
2 - 1
Catania

Cherubini (46'), Cerri (89')
Palmieri (33'), Schiavi (50'), Cicconi (68'), Imperiale (90+2'), (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Popovic (54')
Popovic (27')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia Preliminary Round clash between Carrarese and Catania.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Virtus Entella 0-0 Carrarese
Sunday, July 28 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Venezia 2-1 Catania
Sunday, August 11 at 6pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carrarese win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw has a probability of 27.6% and a win for Catania has a probability of 22.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Catania win it is 0-1 (9.1%).

Result
CarrareseDrawCatania
49.86% (0.233 0.23) 27.62% (-0.284 -0.28) 22.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 42.15% (0.724 0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.96% (0.91 0.91)62.04% (-0.911 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.23% (0.664 0.66)81.76% (-0.666 -0.67)
Carrarese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (0.52500000000001 0.53)25.15% (-0.526 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (0.719 0.72)59.86% (-0.721 -0.72)
Catania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.31% (0.576 0.58)43.68% (-0.579 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.14% (0.476 0.48)79.86% (-0.477 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Carrarese 49.85%
    Catania 22.51%
    Draw 27.61%
CarrareseDrawCatania
1-0 @ 15.16% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 10.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.82% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.108 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 49.85%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.98% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-2 @ 3.59% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 9.1% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.99% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.51%

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