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Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 7, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
0 - 0
Toluca

LIVE
35'

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Toluca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: America 1-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, May 19 at 3am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, May 12 at 3.10am in Liga MX

We say: CD Guadalajara 2-1 Toluca

 Guadalajara have enjoyed the better of this fixture of late and will have the psychological edge heading into Sunday's game. Nonetheless, we expect a close contest with the hosts just about coming out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Toluca has a probability of 31.19% and a draw has a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Toluca win is 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.19%).

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
43.14% (-0.12 -0.12) 25.67% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 31.19% (0.099 0.1)
Both teams to score 54.05% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)49.84% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.16% (-0.035 -0.04)71.84% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)22.99% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.2% (-0.107 -0.11)56.79% (0.104 0.1)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (0.045999999999992 0.05)29.8% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.12% (0.061 0.06)65.88% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 43.14%
    Toluca 31.19%
    Draw 25.67%
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.14%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 31.19%

How you voted: Guadalajara vs Toluca

CD Guadalajara
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Toluca
14.3%
7
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 3.10am
Toluca
0-0
Guadalajara
Ruiz (45'), Meneses (82'), Vega (83')
Garcia (59')
Rangel (36'), Mozo (45'), Castillo (90+5')
May 9, 2024 2.05am
Guadalajara
1-0
Toluca
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (87')
Gutierrez (90+6')

Garcia (83')
Jan 31, 2024 3.05am
Gameweek 4
Guadalajara
3-2
Toluca
Beltran (1'), Perez (43'), Marin (81')
Orozco (14'), Perez (45+5'), Gutierrez (62'), Castillo (65')
Ruiz (7'), Garcia (45+3')
Belmonte (45+4'), Pereira (45+9'), Angulo (71'), Ruiz (83')
Oct 2, 2023 12.20am
Gameweek 10
Toluca
1-1
Guadalajara
Lopez (62')
Raul (42'), Mosquera (80'), Navarro (90+5')
Marin (69')
Sepulveda (14'), Paunovic (15'), Mozo (54'), Raul Rangel Aguilar (74')
Jan 22, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 3
Guadalajara
1-2
Toluca
Huerta (31' og.)
Gonzalez (60'), Ruiz (84')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Spain
vs.
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Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
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Sunday, July 14
 
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Winner SF1
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> View full version> Results
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Group A

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Q Germany Germany32107
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Group B

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Group E

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Group F

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4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


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