Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erith Town win with a probability of 56.37%. A win for Pagham had a probability of 23.21% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Erith Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.98%) and 3-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Pagham win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Erith Town would win this match.
0.78) 
-0.84) 
