Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shildon AFC win with a probability of 58.92%. A win for Ashington AFC had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shildon AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.18%) and 3-1 (7.11%). The likeliest Ashington AFC win was 1-2 (5.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
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