Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Blazey win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Ivybridge Town had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Blazey win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.49%) and 3-2 (4.79%). The likeliest Ivybridge Town win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
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