

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 43.86% ( | 25.45% ( | 30.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.9% ( | 49.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( | 71.17% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( | 22.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.18% ( | 55.81% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( | 29.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.16% ( | 65.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.86% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0-3 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Walsall | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 70 |
| 2 | Bradford CityBradford | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 32 | 20 | 69 |
| 3 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 64 |
| 4 | Port Vale | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 64 |
| 5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 63 |
| 6 | Notts County | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 62 |
| 7 | Grimsby Town | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 59 |
| 8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 58 |
| 9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 58 |
| 10 | Salford City | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 53 |
| 11 | Chesterfield | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 52 |
| 12 | Bromley | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 52 |
| 13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 50 |
| 14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 50 |
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 48 |
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 48 |
| 17 | MK Dons | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 46 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 46 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 43 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 41 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 41 |
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 37 |
| 23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 24 | Morecambe | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 30 |
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