Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
