Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
