Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
