Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
